Archive
Every claim, tested
A running record of every claim I've tested, what I expected before running it, and what the data said. The archive is the point: a hundred tested claims is a reference nobody else has.
| No. | Date | Claim | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Oct 4, 2026 | Sell stocks when they look expensive $1 became $327, not $1,265 |
Lost money in every threshold tested |
| 02 | Oct 11, 2026 | A VIX above 40 is a buy signal that's right 9 out of 10 times 207 data points are really 9 |
True, and nearly meaningless |
Full issues and code publish on their Sunday. Subscribe to get each one when it lands.